Feb 8, 2023
Colorado River Water Shortage – Recent Proposals
Some major events and developments have taken place in the past week in the Colorado river water shortage arena. As a result, we are entering into a series of substantial and complicated legal aspects associated with the Colorado River situation. Thus, a brief review of the current situation and some basic legal points of consideration can perhaps clarify some of the present challenges.
In November 2022 the Bureau of Reclamation (BoR) published a Notice of Intent (NOI) to analyze and prepare for the Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (SEIS) regarding the “Colorado River Interim Guidelines for Lower Basin Shortages and Coordinated Operations for Lake Powell and Lake Mead” to deal with the continuing drought conditions. Since the NOI was published, representatives from the Colorado River Basin States have been meeting and working together to develop a joint Framework and Agreement Alternative and they set a target date of 1 February 2023 to submit a proposal to the BoR.
Unfortunately, the seven U.S. basin states have not been able to reach a consensus. However, six basin states, including Arizona, submitted a proposal to the BoR (1). California was not part of the six-basin state agreement and so they submitted an independent proposal for the BoR’s consideration, modeling, and analysis (2).
Now after the 1 February deadline has passed and an agreement could not be reached among all seven U.S. basin states, two sharply contrasting proposals exist.
The proposal submitted by Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah, and Wyoming addresses a large part of the reductions of Colorado River water allocations that the BoR has targeted (2-4 million acre-feet/year, MAF/yr) by accounting for system losses that include evaporation and other losses between Lake Mead and the Imperial Dam (approximately 1.5 MAF/yr). The calculations provided in this proposal result in large reductions for California due to its large share of the river water. This proposal also addresses reductions in Colorado River allocations more rapidly than the California proposal.
The six-state plan describes collective reductions of 250,000 acre-feet (KAF) when the Lake Mead reservoir level drops to an elevation of 1,030 feet and below. The 250 KAF total would consist of 93 KAF from Arizona, 10 KAF from Nevada, and 147 KAF from California.
An additional collective reduction of 200 KAF would come from these lower basin states if Lake Mead’s elevation plunged to 1,020 feet and below.
For perspective, Lake Mead is currently at an elevation of 1,046.97 feet.
In contrast, the California proposal is heavily based on the “Law of the River” and the high-priority senior water rights of the Golden State
The current California position is consistent with earlier proposals that they have provided with an emphasis on “present perfected rights, PPRs”, their interpretation of the Law of the River, and their offer to conserve an additional 400 KAF/year through 2026. The California proposal also includes voluntary cuts of 560 KAF from Arizona and 40 KAF from Nevada. As I interpret the California proposal, I find the “voluntary” reductions from Arizona and Nevada as an interesting feature.
The California proposal also includes considerations of Lake Powell water levels and additional reductions if the elevations of that reservoir were to drop further.
What we have now is California operating alone with an argument based heavily on their interpretation of the Law of the River in contrast to the united front and a different approach to the problem presented by the six other U.S. basin states.
To understand the complexities of the current situation, some basic understanding of what the “Law of River” is, and the possible implications is important. In general, the “Law of the River” is a collection of laws, agreements, court decisions, and contracts. The Law of the River is a complex amalgam based on a series of federal laws specific to the Colorado River in combination with a series of United States Supreme Court decrees that serve to enjoin the Secretary of the Interior and the States of the Lower Division (Arizona, California, and Nevada) to a precise allocation of the water passing downriver from Hoover Dam (3, Glennon and Pearce, 2007).
Within the lower basin states there are three means by which water is allocated. First, is the allocation of water to the holder of a “present-perfected right, PPR”, consistent with a United States Supreme Court decree. The second method of water allocation is to the holder of a contract issued by the BoR under Section 5 of the Boulder Canyon Project Act of 1928. The third method of Colorado River water allocation is to the holder of a subcontract from a Section 5 contract holder (3, Glennon and Pearce, 2007).
The “present perfected rights PPRs” is an important aspect of the Law of the River. The PPRs are those rights to use Colorado River water that were acquired or “perfected” by prior appropriation under state law before the Boulder Canyon Project Act of 1928 was passed.
For further delineation of water rights on the Colorado River, the BoR has established a priority ranking of water rights to administer diversions from the river on a “first-intime-first-in-right” basis.
Priority 1 consists of present perfected rights established by the decree.
Priority 2 is for federal enclaves and reserved water rights established or effective before September 30, 1968.
Priority 3 is for Section 5 contracts issued before 30 September 1968.
Priority 4 is a complex priority, consisting of (a) Section 5 contracts issued after 30 September 1968 (in a total amount not to exceed 164,652 acre-feet of annual diversions) and (b) Contract No. 14-06-W-245 issued to the Central Arizona Water Conservation District.
Priority 5 is for water within Arizona’s 2.8 MAF allocation under the decree, but not currently being used by a right holder.
Priority 6 is for Arizona’s share of any surplus allocation released by the Secretary of the Interior pursuant to the power vested in the Secretary by Article II(B)(2) of the decree. (3, Glennon and Pearce, 2007)
Most of the present perfected rights and Section 5 contracts issued before 1968 were for agricultural purposes along the mainstem of the Colorado River. Many of the Priority 4 contracts were issued to irrigation districts that were specifically formed to divert water for agricultural use. Accordingly, agricultural diversions represent 70-80% of total diversions on the Colorado River basin.
A map and general delineation of the Yuma-area irrigation districts and priority categories is shown in Figure 1.
Figure 1. Map and delineation of the Yuma-area irrigation districts with priority
categories. Source: Yuma-area irrigation district coalition.
For the past several decades there has been increasing demand for Colorado River water for municipal and industrial (M&I) purposes, aka urban development. This has been accentuated by the rapidly growing populations of Arizona and other basin states and now compounded by the mega-drought that we have been experiencing for the 23 years.
The present situation on the Colorado River is both extremely complex and urgent. We are dealing with a real test of our system of governance, natural resource management, and our ability to deal with these challenges effectively.
While the basin states seem to be at an impasse, something and someone must give and there will be significant difficulties encountered as a result. This is a rapidly changing situation, and it will have a significant impact on agriculture in the lower Colorado River basin.
For the past several decades there has been increasing demand for Colorado River water for municipal and industrial (M&I) purposes, aka urban development. This has been accentuated by the rapidly growing populations of Arizona and other basin states and now compounded by the mega-drought that we have been experiencing for the 23 years.
The present situation on the Colorado River is both extremely complex and urgent. We are dealing with a real test of our system of governance, natural resource management, and our ability to deal with these challenges effectively.
While the basin states seem to be at an impasse, something and someone must give and there will be significant difficulties encountered as a result. This is a rapidly changing situation, and it will have a significant impact on agriculture in the lower Colorado River basin.
References
- Six basin states SEIS proposal letter. 31 January 2023
https://www.snwa.com/assets/pdf/seis-letter.pdf
- California SEIS proposal letter. 31 January 2023 https://files.constantcontact.com/5aeb98ab501/5c9d8509-b45b-43fd-b230-5aaec293eca5.pdf
- Glennon, R. and M.J. Pearce. 2007. Transferring Mainstem Colorado River Water Rights: The Arizona Experience. Arizona Law Review. 49:235-256.