Sep 22, 2021
Colorado River Water - Update
For those of us living in the desert, particularly working in agriculture, we commonly use rather affectionate terms to describe water. Water is often referred to as the “life blood” of the desert and we know that “water is life” and it is the most critical limiting factor in any desert crop production system. It is important for everyone in Arizona agriculture to be aware of our water supplies and the prospects for the future.
As the population has grown in the desert Southwest, the demands on our water resources have increased substantially. This has been exacerbated by two decades of drought and increasing average temperatures. As a result, Arizona water supplies have become increasingly critical in terms of both short and long-term capacities.
Continual reviews are being conducted by the Arizona Department of Water Resources (ADWR) and the Central Arizona Project (CAP) and other Arizona agriculture groups regarding Arizona water supplies, specifically from the Colorado River, which supports, at least in part, more than 80% of the Arizona population. The system-wide effort to stabilize the Lake Mead water supply with the 2019 Drought Contingency Plan (DCP) seems to be working as intended to help forestall drops in the reservoir’s levels. However, it does not remove all risk of continually lowering water supplies in Lake Mead.
The DCP for the lower basin of the Colorado River, below Lake Powell, is a set of shortage-sharing agreements among the Lower Basin States of Arizona, California, and Nevada. The DCP augments the 2007 shortage-sharing agreements put in place by the states who are dependent on the Colorado River.
On 16 August 2021, the Bureau of Reclamation declared that Lake Mead will be in a Tier One shortage level beginning 2022. The elevation of the lake is and will continue to be below 1,075 feet above sea level. As a result, Arizona will now be subject to significant cuts in water deliveries from the Colorado River based on Tier 1 reductions in water allocations, that are part of the DCP, and this will go into effect in January 2022 (Figure 1). This will result in Arizona reducing Colorado River water use by 512,000 acre-feet (AF), or 18% of Arizona’s total allocation of 2.8 AF. Tier 1 reductions primarily impact the CAP water allocations, which will be reduced by 30%. Under Tier 1 reductions, agricultural CAP water allocations will be reduced by 65%, primarily affecting Pinal County agriculture. Statewide municipal & industrial and tribal allocations will not be reduced under Tier 1 guidelines. Yuma area water allocations will not be reduced under Tier 1.
We continue to monitor Lake Mead conditions and if lake levels drop to 1,050 and 1,045 ft., we will enter Tier 2 (a and b, respectively) conditions which will increase total reductions of Colorado River water to Arizona to 590,000 and then 640,000 AF, or 21 and then approximately 23% of Arizona’s total allocation. The ADWR provides a good source of information and the prospects on these changing conditions.
Good management and stewardship of our water resources in the field is always important and we are particularly alert to that now.
For additional information please refer to the ADWR, CAP, BOR, and the University of Arizona Water Resource Research Center websites:
https://new.azwater.gov/
https://www.ibwc.gov/Files/CF_CR_LBDCP_073019.pdf
https://library.cap-az.com/documents/departments/planning/colorado-river-programs/CAP-FactSheet-DCP.pdf
https://www.cap-az.com/
https://wrrc.arizona.edu/
Figure 1. Colorado River water reductions in 2022 for CAP users after DCP
mitigation. Reference: Arizona Department of Water Resources (ADWR) and the
Central Arizona Project (CAP).
To contact Jeff Silvertooth go to:
silver@ag.arizona.edu